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What You Need to Know Before you Buy LEGO 10354 LOTR: The Shire

4.9K views· 104 likes· 7:42· Mar 10, 2025

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About This Video

Every year I see the same thing: adults come back to LEGO, look at recently retired sets, and realize they missed the boat. In this video I’m talking about why I think LEGO 10354 LOTR: The Shire is going to be that “grail” set for a lot of people 5–8 years from now—and what you need to think about before you buy it for resale. I break down the early details (rumored/previewed info): $260 retail, 2,017 pieces, nine minifigures, and an April 1 release date, plus why this is already shaping up to be an iconic Lord of the Rings set that’ll compete with Rivendell. I also zoom out and do some practical reselling homework: a quick Google Trends comparison (Star Wars vs. LOTR vs. Bluey), and then I use Rivendell (10316) as the closest comp. I look at out-of-stock behavior, Q4 pricing spikes, and recent eBay solds to show how strong demand can get when supply tightens. Then I talk GWPs—because if LEGO drops a strong gift-with-purchase again (like the Fell Beast 40693 hitting ~$100+), it can completely change the math. Finally, I show my conservative spreadsheet assumptions (discounted buy prices, realistic sell targets) and why, personally, I don’t own Rivendell—but The Shire is checking a lot of boxes for me. Do your own due diligence.

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