Stock Market Down Even as Oil Keeps Falling: What's the Problem? Beware the Fed, Says Ilya Spivak

The stock market retreated even as oil prices continued to fall, with traders seemingly squeamish ahead of the first FOMC policy meeting led by new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. tastylive's Head of Global Macro Ilya Spivak breaks down the price action and previews what may happen next. 00:00 Markets Pause After the Iran Deal Rally 02:25 S&P 500 Tests Resistance as Momentum Fades 04:55 Oil Falls, But Inflation Fears Remain 07:20 Gold, Bonds and the Dollar Tell a Different Story 10:05 Why Markets Still Expect Higher Interest Rates 12:15 BOJ Hike, RBA Hold and the Global Policy Shift 14:20 What to Expect From Kevin Walsh’s First Fed Meeting 16:20 Fed Rate Hike Odds Continue to Climb 18:25 The Real Inflation Problem Beyond Energy 20:40 GDP Growth, AI Investment and an Overheating Economy 23:10 Why the Fed Is Unlikely to Turn Dovish 25:20 Trading Outlook: Dollar, Bonds, Stocks and Natural Gas Helpful links: tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ Get pre-market analysis every morning: tastylive.com/newsletters FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow #OptionsTrading #DayTrading #LiveTrading #FuturesTrading #StockMarket #TradingEducation #Investing #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy #FinancialEducation tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we’ll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. (“tastylive”) and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims (including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.