Prediction Markets See Something the Stock Market Doesn't. A Former BlackRock Insider Explains.

Options price how much the market moves after an event. Prediction markets price whether the event happens at all. Maria Cannizzo of Kelvon says the smartest traders are starting to use both together. Prediction markets settle at $1 or zero. You know your max loss going in. And with an 89 percent accuracy rate across all categories they are not just a sentiment gauge. The current state feels like crypto in 2017: lots of exchanges, no data tools, traders flying blind. The most common mistake is moving too fast on headlines instead of looking at what is actually underneath them. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 0:00 What prediction markets actually are 1:08 How pricing and settlement work 2:12 Options vs prediction markets: the key difference 3:08 How options traders bridge into prediction markets 4:03 Fed example: 57 percent odds of zero cuts in 2026 5:24 How to get edge in prediction markets 6:34 Prediction markets have 89 percent accuracy 7:02 Why Maria built Kelvin after BlackRock and Zero Hash 8:33 What prediction markets see that stock markets miss 9:39 Liquidity: ready for serious size or not yet 10:24 The most common mistakes prediction market traders make #PredictionMarkets #OptionsTrading #MariaConnizzo #tastylive #Kelvon #TradingTrends #MacroTrading #BinaryContracts tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.