Is the Stock Market Done Falling? Don't Get Your Hopes Up If This Happens, Says Ilya Spivak

The stock market roared higher amid hopes for a US-Iran deal to stop fighting, but the mood may quickly sour anew on signs that the inflation shock has already broken economic growth. tastylive's Head of Global Macro Ilya Spivak breaks down what's going on, and why incoming US consumer confidence data may be a critical tell of what comes next. 00:00 Turnaround Thursday? Markets Stage a Sharp Rebound 02:20 Stocks, Gold and Bonds Reverse Course 05:00 Why Oil Isn’t Confirming the Optimism 07:15 The Bond Market’s Message on Interest Rates 09:30 PPI Report: Inflation Is Hot, But Not Hotter Than Feared 12:10 Energy Shock vs. Core Inflation 15:00 Demand Destruction Appears in Consumer Data 17:40 Why Rate Hike Expectations Are Falling 20:00 Consumer Confidence and Inflation Expectations 22:15 Is the Market Shifting From Inflation Fear to Growth Fear? 24:45 AI Investment vs. Consumer Spending 26:45 Positioning for Bonds, Stocks, Gold and the Dollar Helpful links: tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: tastylive.com/newsletters FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow #OptionsTrading #DayTrading #LiveTrading #FuturesTrading #StockMarket #TradingEducation #Investing #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy #FinancialEducation tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we’ll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. (“tastylive”) and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims (including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.