No More Rate Cuts?

The Bank of Canada says rate cuts aren’t coming anytime soon — but the data/history tells a very different story. While the governor talks about “structural changes” and warns that lower rates could stoke inflation, inflation is cooling, money supply growth is weak, credit demand is slowing, and the economy is clearly losing momentum. Yet banks, media outlets, and the real estate industry are all pushing the same message at the same time: don’t expect relief. We’ve seen this movie before. When the central bank, big banks, and headlines all line up behind one narrative, it’s usually worth digging deeper. #bankofcanada #canadianeconomy #canadarealestate Understanding structural change / Comprendre les changements structurels: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8k9ASmSOHZk&t=2615s Bank of Canada - Banque du Canada: https://www.youtube.com/@bankofcanadaofficial Home Sales in Canada End 2025 Quietly: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RJquUckWbwg&list=PLOKoTy8yPzZaRjG8ArUm5F6Ny2FEl5rxb Canadian Home Sales Holding Steady Heading into 2026: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Otg2rM2iSVg Fledgling Canadian Housing Market Momentum Hits Pause in July: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GV4BlveBnQY&t=49s Macklem Warns Against Rate Cuts to Offset Structural Changes: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-05/macklem-warns-of-rate-cut-risk-amid-structural-economic-changes Yet another signal that variable rates are staying put for now: https://financialpost.com/real-estate/mortgages/mortgage-rates/variable-rates-staying-put-for-now Why the Bank of Canada could keep its key rate steady this week, and possibly the rest of the year: https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/article/bank-of-canada-expected-to-keep-key-rate-steady-this-week-and-maybe-all-year-long/ Bank of Canada done with rate cuts, expects two percent inflation to persist: https://www.rbcwealthmanagement.com/en-ca/insights/bank-of-canada-done-with-rate-cuts-expects-two-percent-inflation-to-persist Understanding structural change: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2026/02/understanding-structural-change/ Economic progress report: Controlling inflation: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/03/economic-progress-report-controlling-inflation/ Canada’s inflation rate rises to 5.1% — highest since 1991: https://ici.radio-canada.ca/rci/en/news/1862621/canadas-inflation-rate-rises-to-5-1-highest-since-1991 Monetary aggregates: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/rates/indicators/key-variables/monetary-aggregates/ A Progress Report on the Economy / Le point sur la situation économique: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9p6KJzisNY Bank of Canada plans to keep interest rate near zero until 2023: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/bank-of-canada-rate-decision-1.5779813 Macklem says economy undergoing structural change, plays down chance of further rate cuts: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/economy/article-tiff-macklem-bank-of-canada-speech-interest-rates-economy-transition/ Credit liabilities of households (x 1,000,000): https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=3610063901 Canada's economy lost 25K jobs in January but unemployment drops to 6.5% amid shrinking workforce: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadas-economy-lost-25k-jobs-in-january-but-unemployment-drops-to-65-amid-shrinking-workforce-134045188.html?guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAB7rlxdOo-YDOIZFYljJViYgTrkDpRuBIntgouIA4TuNa9QuzndmVE6g2e2WoN2rh9hMr1J5_wAQ_rF4iCb6xg_X81GPXAIAs2pku9ZXe85olh_Cwbk132GM2GbHljvmKmnge01nLsE3xyUd9XLJcFgKdlY96JBpZ2IEue3ykXhu&guccounter=2 Mark Mitchell – Mortgage Broker London Ontario 920 Commissioners road east London, Ontario N5Z 3J1 Phone: (519)860-2102 (Call or Text) MarkMitchell@LondonOntarioMortgages.ca Brokerage Lic: 10464 Broker Lic: M16001479 https://www.LondonOntarioMortgages.ca – Apply Online!! Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/MarkMitchellMortgageBrokerLondonOntario Subscribe NOW for more Mortgage/Financial News/Videos. Follow me on Social Media: Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/mortgagebrokerlondonontario Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/londonontariomortgages Twitter - https://twitter.com/londonmortgage1/ LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-mitchell-london-s-mortgage-broker-197842123/ TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@mortgagebrokerlondon?lang=en Commentary on this Channel should not be considered financial advice.