Lower to Mixed Stocks, Higher Rates, Precious Metals on Fire

DoubleLine Portfolio Manager Jeff Mayberry and Fixed Income Allocation Strategist Ryan Kimmel review the week ended Jan. 23. They survey a mixed bag for stocks (0:31), with the S&P 500 lower on tech and energy and materials the winners; fixed income (2:06) slightly negative on spillover effects from the selloff in Japanese government bonds and rates up across the Treasury curve; and commodities (3:40) surging higher on energy and precious metals. The macro front (5:43) brought the shutdown-delayed release of benign readings, to be taken “with a big grain of salt,” on the PCE Deflator for October and November; and a weakening in personal income, resulting in a declining personal savings rate. Topping the week ahead (13:36) will be the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference on Jan. 28. Fed funds futures price in a mere 3% probability of a rate cut at the FOMC meeting, rising to only 33% by the end of Powell’s mandate.